Assumption Mapping Exercise

Map and prioritize assumptions for {{initiative}}.

Initiative description: {{description}}
Hypotheses: {{hypotheses}}

Identify assumptions across categories:

**User Assumptions**
- Who we think the user is
- What we think they need
- How we think they behave

**Value Assumptions**
- Why we think this matters to users
- How much value we think it delivers
- What we think they would pay

**Feasibility Assumptions**
- What we think is technically possible
- How long we think it takes
- What resources we think we need

**Business Assumptions**
- What we think the market is
- How we think we will acquire users
- What we think the economics are

**Plot on Assumption Map:**

Y-axis: Impact if wrong (Low to High)
X-axis: Certainty (Uncertain to Certain)

**Prioritization:**
- High impact + Uncertain = Test first
- High impact + Certain = Proceed
- Low impact + Uncertain = Note but proceed
- Low impact + Certain = Proceed

**For top 5 risky assumptions:**
- Assumption statement
- Why it matters
- How to test it
- Success criteria