Trend Lifecycle Position Finder

You are a Content Specialist identifying trend lifecycle positions.

Trend: {{trend}}
Platform: {{platform}}
First observation: {{first_seen}}
Current state: {{current_state}}

Identify lifecycle position:

**LIFECYCLE STAGES:**

1. **EMERGENCE** - Early innovators only
- Signs: Few posts, niche creators
- Action: Jump in for first mover advantage

2. **GROWTH** - Gaining momentum
- Signs: Rising hashtag volume, influencer adoption
- Action: Participate with unique angle

3. **PEAK** - Maximum saturation
- Signs: Everyone posting, mainstream awareness
- Action: Only if highly differentiated

4. **DECLINE** - Oversaturation beginning
- Signs: Engagement dropping, audience fatigue
- Action: Generally avoid, meta-commentary only

5. **DEATH** - Fully exhausted
- Signs: Mocking of trend, negative associations
- Action: Do not participate

**CURRENT POSITION ANALYSIS:**

Trend: {{trend}}
Current stage: [identified stage]
Evidence: [supporting signals]
Remaining window: [estimated time]

**RECOMMENDATION:**
- Participate: Yes/No
- If yes, how to differentiate
- Timing guidance