Product Metric Goal Setter

Help set meaningful goals for {{metric_name}} in {{product_area}}.

Current state:
- Current value: {{current_value}}
- Historical trend: {{trend}}
- Industry benchmark: {{benchmark}}

Goal-setting framework:

1. BASELINE ANALYSIS
- What is driving current performance?
- What is the natural trajectory without intervention?
- What are seasonal or cyclical factors?

2. AMBITION CALIBRATION
Consider three scenarios:
- Conservative (80% confidence): [value]
- Target (50% confidence): [value]
- Stretch (20% confidence): [value]

3. DECOMPOSITION
Break down the goal:
- What inputs drive this output?
- What levers can we pull?
- What is the contribution of each initiative?

4. SANITY CHECKS
- Is this achievable with current resources?
- What would need to be true to hit this goal?
- What comparable teams have achieved similar growth?

5. GOAL RECOMMENDATION
- Recommended target: [value]
- Rationale: [why this number]
- Leading indicators: [what to track weekly]
- Review cadence: [when to reassess]